ron johnson approval rating 538
Each currently enjoys an extraordinary PARG of +75 or higher. Yes. Johnson said it was not his "job is not to micromanage a private company" and that putting the jobs in a different state would actually "benefit Wisconsin, Oshkosh, and Oshkosh workers. Note that the partisan leans in this article were calculated before the 2018 elections; we havent calculated FiveThirtyEight partisan leans that incorporate the midterm results yet. This made him the second-most unpopular senator out of the 100 currently serving, after only McConnell; Kentucky voters disapprove of him by a 60%-33% margin. One month ago, Biden had an approval rating of 42.2 percent and a disapproval rating of 52.2 percent, for a net approval rating of -10.0 points. Democratic Lt. Gov. Meanwhile, super PACs for both sides of the race are already pouring millions of dollars into Wisconsin, Forbes reported. -36. A week ago, Republicans led Democrats by 2.6 points (45.4 percent to 42.8 percent). Today, the Democrat wins, he said. Will they go back to the Republican Party because of Biden, or go to the polls and think, Yeah, I dont like Biden, but Ron Johnsons too crazy for Wisconsin?, Andrew Hitt, former chairman of the Republican Party of Wisconsin, called Johnson a master at retail politics whose plain-spoken, calling it as he sees it approach appeals to Wisconsinites when leveraged appropriately. On the flip side, Republican Sen. Ron Johnson has one of the worst PARS scores (-18); despite his home state of Wisconsin having an R+4 partisan lean, his net approval rating is -14 percentage points. PHOTO ILLUSTRATION BY FIVETHIRTYEIGHT / GETTY IMAGES. FiveThirtyEights partisan lean is the average margin difference between how a state or district votes and how the country votes overall. The Democratic Senatorial Campaign Committee has already spent money on primary-day attacks ads that accuse Johnson of working in Congress to benefit himself and wealthy donors at the expense of ordinary voters. Wisconsins senior senator should get a boost from traditional midterm dynamics, where the party out of power is helped by animosity toward the party in the White House. Condition: --. The two-term senator has real political strengths: incumbency, an enthusiastic GOP base and the political tailwinds of running in a midterm election against the party of the president. At this time last week, 42.2 percent approved and 52.5 percent disapproved (a net approval rating of -10.3 points). If the Democratic presidential nominee carries their states (admittedly, this will be easier for Colorado than for Texas), the party may get a Senate seat as a bonus. Sen. Ron Johnson (R-WI) thinks he has done 'a really good job,' even with an approval rating of 36%. Multiple polls also show Johnson's approval ratings underwater. Jones is a Democratic senator in R+27 Alabama, so hes fighting an uphill battle. For instance, New Hampshire is an evenly divided state, but Gov. He has been endorsed by well-known political figures including Sens. Learn more. As Sen. Ron Johnson weighs whether to run again, his embrace of Trump's anti-democratic campaign to overturn the election results already has angered some mainstream Republican allies, and is poised As Sen. Ron Johnson weighs future, Trump ties take a toll Everss PARG is just +1, suggesting perceptions of him are strongly dependent on partisanship. @baseballot, 2022 Election (348 posts) Nathaniel Rakich is a senior elections analyst at FiveThirtyEight. Need to report an error? Heading into this years campaign, though, Morning Consults quarterly tracking shows Johnsons approval rating severely underwater. As they have for years, three northeastern, blue-state Republicans lead the way: Govs. Unlike this trio, there are some senators whose electoral fates probably do hinge on the presidential race. The 2022 Kansas gubernatorial election took place on November 8, 2022, to elect the governor of Kansas, with primary elections taking place on August 2, 2022. Glenn Youngkin, a Republican who highlighted economic and educational issues to defeat his Democratic rival last year. Last month, he opposed federal funds to help the American microchip industry compete against China, indicating that he did not want to "have government picking the winners and losers.". Democrats are reportedly trying to recruit former Marine fighter pilot Amy McGrath, who raised $8.6 million for an unsuccessful 2018 congressional bid, to run against him. Ditch the ads, get free stuff. One is that it illustrates how Johnson has come back from poor ratings before. In Marquettes last poll, 36% of voters viewed him favorably and 58% viewed him unfavorably. Angus King and Bernie Sanders are considered Democrats for these calculations. His approval rating, according to a recent Marquette Law School poll, is at 41% up four points since June and yet, Wisconsin is on the verge of sending him back to Washington for a third term.. ), could be Democrats best hope to flip a Senate seat in November. Johnsons decline in popularity since 2019 has occurred among almost all groups. We want to hear from you. But Democratic Gov. Bjork, whos previously worked for Emilys List and President Barack Obamas Wisconsin campaigns, noted that running as a progressive in the state isnt impossible, pointing to the winning path charted by Sen. Tammy Baldwin (D-Wis.) a decade ago. Democratic President Joe Biden was also underwater in the latest poll, with just 40% approving of him and 57% disapproving. The Democrats could have run a dead person against Donald Trump in 2020 and the dead person probably would have received more votes than Joe Biden And we would probably be better off today if a dead person had won in 2020, rather than war mongering liar Joe Biden. Adding to the bad news for Johnson is that his approval rating continues to be at an all-time low with just 37% of registered voters saying they approve of him and 46% saying they disapprove. Nearly six years ago, national Republicans had largely written off Johnsons eventually successful re-election campaign as Morning Consult surveys showed 45 percent of Wisconsin voters approved of his job performance, 33 percent disapproved and 22 percent had no opinion. With the help of Morning Consult, which polls the approval ratings of U.S. senators every quarter, weve created a statistic that Im playfully calling Popularity Above Replacement Senator (PARS). As a result, more governors than senators have PARGs at the extreme ends of the spectrum, as you can see in the table below. If you are an existing member, sign-in to leave a comment. But what they missed was that she could create a sincere connection with those working-class voters in rural areas and in Democratic-rich Dane [County] and Milwaukee.. Got a confidential news tip? Ron Johnson is America's second least popular senator after only Mitch (Photo by Caroline Brehman/CQ Roll Call via AP Images), Biden throws out Trump energy policy that added millions of tons of carbon pollution, Madison Cawthorn caught breaking the law again, Marjorie Taylor Greene pledges bill to criminalize gender-affirming care in CPAC speech, Republicans lawmakers show off their awards from anti-LGBTQ Family Research Council. How Daniel Kelly worked with the GOP to fuel election denialism. Senator, led by Lt. Faircloth's loss came in a year in which the President, Democrat Bill Clinton, had an approval rating in the 60s. The American Independent is the No. Those include Republican Sens. No matter who wins the 2020 presidential election, they wont be able to get much done if their party doesnt also win the Senate. For all these reasons, some nonpartisan analysts think Johnson has a better than even chance of getting reelected. But the electorate has hardened around him. @baseballot, Mitch McConnell (63 posts) 56% of independent voters in Wisconsin disapproved of Johnsons job performance up 14 percentage points since late 2020. Republican Sen. Ron Johnson emerged from Donald Trumps presidency with his approval ratings in Wisconsin underwater and its only gotten worse under Joe Biden, even as voters there have soured on the Democratic president. Right now, the Democrats are trying to steal this election blah, blah, blah!. 36% of Wisconsin voters approved of Johnson's job performance and 51% disapproved in the fourth quarter of 2021. while Evers' approval rating remains above water. If the magic of 2016 (for Johnson) was to convert dont knows to favorables, this year it looks like people who didnt have an opinion are being converted into unfavorables, said Franklin. Shaheen has a +21 net approval rating, Warner has a +19 net approval rating and Smith has a +18 net approval rating. Democrats have zeroed in on Johnson, who is backed by former President Donald Trump, as they fight to hang onto their razor-thin Senate majority. Republicans in Wisconsin said Johnson would do well to craft a message meant to appeal to voters in the middle, nodding to the approach of Virginia Gov. And hes not the only Democrat with a lot of cross-party appeal; in fact, the 16 senators with the highest PARS scores all caucus with the Democratic Party. Ron DeSantis of Florida and Greg Abbott of Texas have seen their approval ratings dip amid an alarming rise of Covid-19 infections and hospitalizations in both states over the past two months, . Kelly won by little under 2.5% in 2020, or about 2 points bigger than Joe Biden's 2020 victory in Arizona. He ran behind the other three, with 44% versus 46% for Barnes, 43% versus 45% for Godlewski and 43% versus 44% for Nelson. Both politicians were backed by 43 percent of likely voters. But his rating among anti-Trump voters has steadily worsened, going from minus-24 in 2016 to minus-45 in 2020 to minus-58 this year. Its based on the same premise as my Popularity Above Replacement Governor (PARG) statistic1 that its a good idea to think about politicians popularity in the context of their states partisanship. In a state where the Democratic president eked out one of his narrowest margins of victory over Trump (just under 21,000 votes), Biden has seen his standing plummet especially in the suburban communities that Democrats relied on for 2018 midterm victories and Bidens own success. Republican Sen. Ron Johnson of Wisconsin will defend his seat against Democratic Lt. Gov. Calculating PARS and PARG is simple: Its just the difference between each states FiveThirtyEight partisan lean2 and the senator or governors net approval rating (approval rating minus disapproval rating). . Susan Collins (25). The M Logo and MORNING CONSULT are registered trademarks of Morning Consult Holdings, Inc. has shown Johnson near the bottom of the pack in terms of base support among Republican senators running for re-election this year. Governor Rebecca Kleefisch. Similarly, if you were to look at state partisanship alone, you might assume that Democratic Sens. "I think when using federal tax dollars, you want to spend those in the most efficient way, and if it's more efficient, more effective to spend those in other states, I don't have a real problem with that. If the same state had a Republican governor with the same approval rating, his PARS would be -5 (2-7 = -5). Appointment o Appoint ambassadors, public ministers, federal judges: with advice and consent of the Senate o Appoints about 3,500 people, of which 1,125 require Senate approval o Can remove many of these apps at will o Technically appts military personnel o Selection of the right people: very imp o Cabinet: formal body of presidential . According to the latest Morning Consult poll, which covered the first three months of 2019, Manchin had a +5 net approval rating. Johnson, 67, is also the subject of an ethics complaint over a $280,000 gift to his chief of staff, which he argued was intended for the employees cancer treatments, NBC News reported. Governors running for reelection in swing states also have some very different PARGs that explain why some of them are vulnerable this year, while others probably dont have anything to worry about. You must be an Urban Milwaukee member to leave a comment. According to a Morning Consult Political Intelligence survey of all 50 states, just 37% of registered . That poll . Have you been living under a rock? Becky Can I marry this table, or this, you know, clock? The world has been led by intensive and extensive waves of darkness from renaissance all the way down to the Covid crisis. @eyokley, Download Fastest Growing Brands 2022 Report, Sen. Ron Johnson speaks about the origins of COVID-19 at a press conference in Washington, D.C., in June 2021. That gap is significantly bigger than it was from 2013 to 2019. But partisanship isnt the only factor in Senate races (yet); a senators popularity can still make a difference. PPP recently conducted a poll for 314 Action in Wisconsin and found that the state unsurprisingly continues to be closely divided politically about a lot of things but not its feelings about Ron Johnson. Meanwhile, Republican U.S. Youre ridiculous. Post author: Charles Franklin; Post published: August 17, 2022; Post category: Poll Release . Doing this for the Senate, we get the following table of senators with the best and worst statewide brands: Senators net approval ratings (approval ratings minus disapproval ratings) for the first three months of 2022 relative to the FiveThirtyEight partisan leans of their states. But as Franklin points out, its really since 2019 that public opinion has grown markedly more negative and polarized over Johnson, and Johnson had already strongly aligned himself with Trump by then. Figures may not add up to 100% due to rounding. The survey released Wednesday found slipping approval ratings for Democratic Gov. Trump is quite unpopular here. His current term ends on January 3, 2029. Barnes, the current lieutenant governor of Wisconsin, leads Johnson 51% to 44%, up from a narrow two-point lead he held in June, when polls showed Barnes had the support of 46% voters in the battleground state, which voted for former President Donald Trump in 2016 and President Joe Biden in 2020. Abstract The modern civilization is the antithesis of religious way of life. RCP House Ratings, Map. Besides touting Republican wins on regulatory relief, strengthening the military and tax cuts, Johnson. A trio of red-state Democrats Kentuckys Andy Beshear, Kansass Laura Kelly and Louisianas John Bel Edwards all have PARGs between +31 and +51 as well. Just ask Senate Minority Leader Mitch McConnell, who for years has had the worst PARS score in the country (currently -54). The majority of senators have PARS scores in the single digits, indicating that their approval rating is largely determined by the partisanship of their states. John F. Kennedy 1961-63. Bolded rows denote senators running for reelection in 2022.
ron johnson approval rating 538